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Bavaria election 2018 polls: What time do polling stations open? When do they close? | World | News
Published On: Thu, Oct 11th, 2018

Bavaria election 2018 polls: What time do polling stations open? When do they close? | World | News


The CSU has fallen below the 40 percent mark in public opinion surveys and it is almost certain to lose its majority.

The Greens have been the main winner in recent polls, with 18 percent of the intended vote on average in the last three polls.

Support for the far-right populist Alternative for Germany (AfD), which are contesting the election in Bavaria for the first time, has remained stable recently at around 12 percent and the social Democrats are at 11.8 percent.

The CSU has moved away from the viewpoint of Merkel on key issues, including the chancellor’s welcoming policy toward refugees and migrants.

Pepijn Bergsen, analyst at The Economist Intelligence Unit, said: “The CSU’s hard line on migration seems to have proved counterproductive though.

“Instead of winning back the voters it lost to the AfD in recent years – the CSU’s vote share in the federal election fell to 44.2 percent from 54 percent and the AfD won 10.5 percent of the vote in Bavaria – it seems to be turning off more moderate voters.

“These voters are often heavily involved in the effort to integrate the large number of refugees who arrived in 2015-16 and The Greens also benefit from the drop in support for the Social Democratic Party (SPD), which has fallen to around 11 percent in the polls, from 20.6 percent in 2013.”

The CSU’s hard line strategy against refugees, has not paid off as 34 percent of Bavarians say they perceive the CSU and its regional Minister-President Markus Söder as a problem affecting their region, versus 28 percent saying the same about refugees.

Bavaria election 2018 polls:

Bavaria election 2018 polls: The CSU has fallen below the 40 percent mark in public opinion surveys (Image: Getty )

What time do polling stations open and close?

The polling stations will be open between 8am and 6pm on October 14.

But there is no set timetable for when the first results will come in.

The first exit polls will be published at 6pm.

And results are expected to drip fee din slowly overnight, with the first indications coming in the hours hours of October 15.

Bavaria election 2018 polls:

Bavaria election 2018 polls: The Greens campaign in the Bavarian election (Image: Getty )

What could the result of the election be?

The CSU will almost certainly remain the largest party in the election, Mr Bergsen explained.

However, whereas it currently leads a one party government, it is likely to need at least one coalition partner after the election.

Depending on the exact result, this could be the centre-right Free Voters of Bavaria Party.

A CSU Green coalition is unlikely, but it might be the only possible majority coalition, this coalition between the Greens and the Christian Democrats would not be exceptional for Germany, as the two parties have governed neighbouring Baden Württemberg since 2016, with The Greens as the senior coalition party.

Bavaria election 2018 polls:

Angela Merkel and Horst Seehofer arrive for a meeting of the CDU/CSU joint Bundestag faction (Image: Getty )

Mr Bergsen added: “In any case, the CSU’s almost certainly disappointing election result is likely to lead to personnel changes within the party, with it being unclear how this will affect the direction of the party.

“As a result, political pressure on the CSU in Bavaria is almost certain to continue to lead to tensions within the grand coalition at the federal level.”

Germany is a federal state consisting of 16 individual states – of which Bavaria is the biggest in size and the second biggest in population.

Like all German federal states, Bavaria has its own parliament, its own government and a so-called Minister-President who serves as the state’s leader.

Every five years, Bavaria’s parliament, the Landtag with its 180 members is elected.

The members of the Landtag are elected by a proportional system, which means that the competition parties generally receive as many seats in the parliament as corresponding to their percentage of votes.

To be able to enter the Landtag, the parties need to win at least five percent of the total number of valid votes.

In Germany, parties almost never rule alone as they need more than 50 percent of the votes cast to do that.

Parties cooperate to form a government, usually two parties whose summed up percentages are more than 50 percent become what is called a coalition.



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Bavaria election 2018 polls: What time do polling stations open? When do they close? | World | News